Atalanta v Apollon Over 3.5 Cards

Football - Europa League - 19 Oct 20:05

Odds: 1.83 @ bet365 >>> BET NOW

Not going to dwell on the past two days. Shit happens, I've gotten over it. Going to keep backing picks based on my formula that's generally worked over the long-term.

I expect Atalanta to win this game, but I quite like this price. Skybet are 1.72 for the same bet, whereas 888sport are 1.65. That's quite a big variance in this market. Atalanta have picked up 3 and 1 card in their 2 games, with 1/2 of their matches going over this mark. Apollon have picked up 3 and 2 cards, with 1/2 going over this line.

Domestically, Atalanta are averaging 2 cards per game this season, and I think as long as they pick up 1 card here we should be in with a great shout. I fully expect Apollon to pick up at least 2 here, and there are 4/9 with Skybet to do so. They will likely be outclassed here, although they are unbeaten so far (2 draws) in a tough group (Lyon and Everton).

The ref for this one is Georgi Kabakov from Bulgaria. He has shown 41 cards in 10 European games, an average of 4.1 p/g. He has shown over this mark in 6/10. Just think this price offers some value here.

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SDPW +986.82
Stake: 10 1.83Bet365
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Posted 1 year ago

Bets Placed

Simon (+14,835.75) bet £10.00 on this tip.


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HunterUk (+3,061.58) bet £10.00 on this tip.


Graeme (+379.10) bet £25.00 on this tip.


Woland (+7,385.78) bet £10.00 on this tip.

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