Leganes v Real Madrid 50+ Booking Points

Football - Copa del Rey - 18 Jan 20:30

I fancy a close game here; Real Madrid have a very rotated side, with the likes of Vasquez, Llorente, Mayoral, Ceballos, Kovacic all in the starting line up, and the likes of Bale and Ronaldo not even on the bench. Although Leganes have also rotated, this is a very similar side that beat Villarreal 1-0 in the last round of the cup.

Leganes will want to get a positive result here to take to the Bernebeau, and I fancy this to be a similar game to that of Espanyol v Barcelona last night. A tight game, with Espanyol soaking up pressure then nicking one at the end - must point out that the big guns all played for Barca too.

Leganes have been a plucky side this season and should be fine in terms of relegation as they sit 13th in the league. We all know how poor Madrid have been this season; 4th in the league and a huge 19 points away from Barca. Disastrous - which makes me wonder why Zidane isn't putting out a stronger side - this might be his only realistic chance for a trophy as I don't think they will win the CL. An almost identical Madrid team were held 2-2 in the home leg vs Div 2 side Numancia in the last round.

Anyway, close games tend to yield cards, and if Madrid go behind here, I can see them getting petulant. There were a flurry of late cards in the Catalan derby last night, and if we see a similar scoreline, we can expect a similar result here.

Leganes have picked up 46 cards in 19 La Liga games this season - an average of 2.42 cards per game. Madrid have picked up 39 in 19 - an average of 2.05 p/g. Slightly under than what we need, but as I think this will be a close game, which will hopefully see it yield an extra card.

The ref for this game is Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez. He averages 4.57 cards per game this season, but has shown 5 or more in 50%.
SDPW +1020.82
Stake: 10 1.80Skybet
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