Athletic Bilbao v Barcelona Both 30 or More Booking Points

Football - Copa del Rey - 05 Jan 20:15

My next tip is for the same game, and this time its for both teams to pick up 30 or more booking points (yellow = 10, red = 25), at odds of 2.25. Normal stake.

Read my other tip for a bit more context on this game. Bilbao have covered their side of the bargain in 9/10 of the recent meetings, including the last 9 in a row. They are 1.40 to go over this mark in their own right, so I’m not going to bother analysing this further as it looks a sure thing.

As briefly mentioned in my other tip, Barcelona have picked up 26 cards in their last 10 meetings with Bilbao – an average of 2.6 p/g. They have gone over this mark in 6/10 of these – a strike rate of 60%.

This bet has therefore banked in 6 of the last 10 meetings. A 60% strike rate equates to odds of 1.67. In my eyes, we are basically getting 2.25 here on Barca to pick up 30+ booking points, something that’s best price of 1.75 elsewhere.

When we look at this further, it looks even better. In their last 5 trips to Bilbao, they have picked up card totals of; 4, 3, 3, 4, 1. They average 3 p/g when they play here and this has won in 4 of their last 5 trips.

As said in my other tip, referee Borbalan averages 6.14 p/g this season and has shown 6 or more cards in 5/7 of his matches this term.
SDPW +1025.55
Stake: 10 2.25Skybet
Bets Placed
Simon

Simon (+13,668.63) bet £10.00 on this tip.

2.25
HunterUk

HunterUk (+2,832.68) bet £10.00 on this tip.

2.25

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