Leeds v Middlesbrough Over 4 Cards

Football - Championship - 19 Nov 13:15

Should have a couple of tips today. This game, although not a derby as the grounds are about an hour and a bit away from each other, it does have a sort of derby feel to it due to the relative closeness, geographically speaking. Couple that with it being the only Championship game of the day, and not overshadowed by an early TV kick off in the PL, all eyes will be on this game in the pub at lunchtime.

Leeds' 16 games have averaged 4.31 cards per game, and 11 of these have seen 4 or more (69%). Leeds themselves have averaged 1.94 cards per game and have picked up 2 or more in 9/16 (56%).

Boro's 16 games have averaged 4.31 cards per game, and 9 of these have seen 4 or more (56%). Bro themselves have averaged 1.75 cards per game and have picked up 2 or more in 7/16 (44%).

There have been 4 or more cards in a combined 20/32 games involving these sides this season (63%) - equates to odds of 1.59

Of the last 6 meetings, 4 of these have seen four or more.

The ref for this one is Keith Stroud, who has averaged 5 per game in 6 Championship games this season, showing four or more in 4/6. Last season he showed 4+ in 25/39 games in all comps, a strike rate of 64% and implied odds of around the 1.58 mark.


I expected the line to be O4.5, and the fact we get a stake back if it finishes on 4 means that this is effectively a free swing in my opinion, as I can't see there being 3 or less in this one.

Leeds are on a four game losing streak and will be desperate to get back on track at Elland Road, against their near rivals

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SDPW +1120.95
Stake: 30 1.83Bet365
Best Odds

Posted 29 days ago

1.83
Bets Placed
Wieslaw

Wieslaw (+1,447.19) bet £30.00 on this tip.

1.83
jugger

jugger (+1,535.99) bet £30.00 on this tip.

1.83
Simon

Simon (+13,830.35) bet £30.00 on this tip.

1.83
Dave

Dave (+1,300.66) bet £100.00 on this tip.

1.83
Woland

Woland (+4,980.85) bet £30.00 on this tip.

1.83
HunterUk

HunterUk (+2,868.08) bet £30.00 on this tip.

1.83
Graeme

Graeme (+379.10) bet £35.00 on this tip.

1.83
SlugForAButt

SlugForAButt (+1,061.32) bet £30.00 on this tip.

1.83
Graeme

Graeme (+379.10) bet £25.00 on this tip.

1.83

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