Aston Villa v Sunderland +0.5 Asian Handicap

Football - Championship - 21 Nov 19:45

Statistically 2.2 looks a good price. That's because Villa have only won 4/8 at home and Sunderland have avoided defeat in 5 of their 8 away games. However betting isn't that simple.

As bad as Sunderland have been though they have drawn 5 of their last 7 matches and individual mistakes have been costing them wins.

This tip really comes down to team news though with Villa missing Terry, Kodja and Hogan for this game. The key abscentee for me is striker Kodja. I did some further digging to see how important he was to this Villa team.

With Kodja playing 30 mins or more Villa have played 3 won 3 at home this season. Without Kodja they have won 1 of their 5 home games in the Championship. Coincidence? I think not. I then found this tweet from WhoScored. This really backs up my claim about how important he is.

Also we have the new manager factor with Chris Coleman taking over at Sunderland. You'd expect a reaction from the players who will be keen to impress the new manager. I think anything over Evens here is a good bet.

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Posted 4 months ago

Bets Placed

Simon (+13,897.31) bet £10.00 on this tip.


CD (+4,406.09) bet £10.00 on this tip.


SlugForAButt (+477.10) bet £10.00 on this tip.


Punting4Paradise (+1,910.57) bet £10.00 on this tip.


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