Hamburg v Hoffenheim Over 4 Cards

Football - Bundesliga - 26 Nov 14:30

Rare dip into the Bundesliga for me, but I like this match up for cards.

Hamburg have struggled the past few seasons and have found themselves at the wrong end of the table, staying up by the skin of their teeth recently. This season looks no different as they sit 3rd from bottom, with 1 win in their last 10 games.

Hoffenheim are 7th but have seemingly struggled to adapt to playing European football this year, although they were knocked out by Braga in midweek, in a game that saw 12 cards in the second half. They have only won 1 of their last 7, and although they are a better side than Hamburg, both sides poor form coupled with home advantage and Hamburg being fresher, should see this game be competitive.

Remarkably, both sides average the same in terms of total cards, with their games seeing 4.08 cards on average. Both sides have picked up 26 cards, an average of 2.17 per game. Straight away you can see we can expect 4.34 cards here.

Hamburg have picked up 2+ in 7/12, whereas Hoffenheim have picked up 2+ in 9/12. The last 5 meetings have seen an average of 5.8 cards with their being 4+ in 4/5.

The ref for this game is Bastien Dankert, who averages 4 cards p/g this season and has shown 4 or more in 3/8.

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