Mensur Suljovic v Phil Taylor

Darts - World Cup of Darts - 05 Jun 14:00

This is an outsider tip but the odds are disrespectful towards Suljovic. Making him 3/1 in a best of 7 leg match is ridiculous against anyone, let alone a poorly performing Taylor.

To demonstrate this, in yesterday's matches, and this does have to take into account that Taylor was playing a poor opponent, he averaged just over 81, whereas Suljovic averaged over 101. I do expect Taylor to play better than this but it has been obvious that he is not at his best level of form. He has come off playing in the Premier League and travelling to Dubai. He does not look at his most motivated for this event, whereas Suljovic looks the exact opposite.

Also playing into his favour is that Suljovic played in the afternoon session, unlike Taylor who played in the night session. Whether it will affect Taylor or not, it does mean Suljovic does have a good rest. He has shown signs, particularly in the European Tour of fatigue in matches played one after the other, and I am therefore happy that he will be refreshed and ready for this.

Now looking at reasons why Suljovic can beat Taylor, if you have not seen by now that this is probably the most dangerous player to meet in events in the last year, you've missed something. A quarter final appearance at the World Matchplay followed by semi finals of the World Grand Prix and the Players Championship Finals, with victories in those events against Gary Anderson and James Wade, followed by a victory in a European Tour event against Michael van Gerwen. This all came last year and, from there, he has had a very decent year on the tour, with 5 Quarter Finals and 2 Semi Finals on the tour this year.

The reason for his success has been his ability to match his success on doubles with vastly improved scoring. He now regularly gets over the 100 average mark on tour and, with Taylor showing signs of struggling on his finishing again at this event, in a best of 7 leg match, Suljovic looks to be very good value.

Added to this that he has shown immense determination to produce his best in this event for his country, that Taylor has previously lost in the singles in this event to some poorer players than Suljovic, including Ken MacNeil, Gary Mawson and Ritchie Burnett (admittedly four years ago). This does though underline he is, as any player is, vulnerable over this short format.

As a last consideration, Suljovic has to win this match. It is unlikely that Rowby John Rodriguez will be able to get a result against Lewis. Suljovic has taken on the captains role and has chosen to go for this match against Taylor. It is a match you would make Taylor favourite for, but nowhere near as short a favourite as this.

They have not met for 6 years, and I am hopeful that Suljovic can, at these odds, make it a worthwhile wait for himself here.
Toby +73.60
Stake: 10 4.00Bet365
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Posted 2 years ago

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