Keegan Brown v Zoran Lerchbacher Most 180s

Darts - PDC World Championship - 23 Dec 13:15

I've gone through all the 2nd Round matches so far and priced up the 180s markets. Bookies agree with me on every match except this one and by some distance.

In my 180s database I've got Brown averaging 0.2178 180s per leg and Lerchbacher 0.2143. So almost nothing to separate them.

I can only assume bookies have reacted to Brown's impressive 1st Round win over Wade in which he hit 4 180s. He's not an underdog anymore and maybe a little bit more pressure on his young shoulders now he's expected to win and make the 3rd Round.

In his previous 3 matches on record Brown managed just 1 maximum. In fact he's hit 1 or fewer maximum in 8 of the last 19 matches on record.

Lerchbacher despite not being prolific on the treble 20 has made a habit of winning this market. In matches where 180s were record he's won this market in 6 of his last 7 games including against Van Gerwen.

These two have met once before, earlier this season in a floor event and Lerchbacher won 6-4. I don't have the 180 stats but the win should give him some confidence to play well against Brown.

4/1 looks a nonsense price. I would increase stakes but I was limited to £12.50 and I'm reluctant to tip a stake that I can't get, when the next best price is 0.5 shorter. 4.5 is widely available and that's still worth betting at.
BKDarts +888.27
Stake: 10 4.50Ladbrokes
Best Odds

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All odds are subject to change and are correct at the time of publishing.

Bets Placed

Simon (+15,349.91) bet £12.50 on this tip.


Woland (+8,685.86) bet £12.50 on this tip.


CJ (+3,428.28) bet £5.00 on this tip.


Josh (+21.26) bet £5.00 on this tip.


Follower (+597.05) bet £5.00 on this tip.


jugger (+5,071.79) bet £10.00 on this tip.


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