England v Aus - Eng O399.5 1st innings runs

Cricket - Ashes - 23 Nov 23:30

Having seen the first day I think this has a real chance.

Only Cook and Stoneman were really got out, Vince threw it away and Root missed a straight one.

Pitch seems very very slow, it may well quicken up today, but I think that only serves to increase run scoring as it will help time shots. I cannot se it suddenly start to fly through.

All the seamers looked v tired at the end of the day, having got through about 20 overs each, Cummins in particular was down to low 80s

If they are in any way stiff or sore they could well waste the new ball first thing. After those first 20 overs it really does get tough in the bowlers, for example Stoneman and Vince batted 52 with relatively few alarms.

If england bat that many overs in the rest of their innings, given the attacking nature of the batsman to come that would be enough to see us past this line.

The slow nature of the wicket also nutralises to some extent Moeen's weakness against the short ball Ali has made 293 runs at nearly 37 v Aus batting at 8 or 9. Malan is in good form with 2x50s in the warmups and a ton.

Bairstow averages 50 in the last 3 years with the bat.

Woakes averages 30 and has 9 FC tons and 20 odd 50s with a average north of 35, his is a very good number 8.

Broad is not what he once was, but the slow nature of the pitch will help, he made 57 v SA and a 38 v WI. Ball has a 31 off 60 v India, and Anderson has experience as a nightwatchmen. They may not make many themselves but if one of the first 2 guys is still in they are capable of holding up an end.

£10 as its a price boost, to try and keep the odds

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Posted 11 months ago

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