Australia 330-400 Runs v England

Cricket - Ashes - 24 Nov 23:30

Australia resume on 165/4 with Smith and Marsh looking in good touch. We need 165-235 runs for the remaining 6 wickets here for 3.40 odds.

The pros to runs is that this pitch is so flat and offering very little to both seamers and spinners. England batsman made it look quicker than it was with a rather panicked approach to the expected short ball spells from Australias quick men. Smith and Marsh have looked comfortable.

In Smith, Australia have one of the best batsmen in the world at the crease and looking set to go big. Marsh can be inconsistent. Still 18 overs to the new ball so plenty of time for these 2 to get settled before seeing it off.

England were 163/4 and then got up to just 302. The lower order which was expected to be Englands strength failed with Bairstow 9 and Woakes 0 not contributing. Australia have a perceived weaker lower order but their tail looks slightly stronger than Englands. Also, England don't have the pace and intimidation to bounce the tailenders out like Australia did.

The cons to runs is that Paine is in next and he's hopeless. These 2 will have to be in for the new ball as I don't expect Paine to hang around to long against it.

Going off averages for Australias 7-11 then we would expect 104 runs from them. That leaves us needing 61 off Smith and Marsh which they look very well set to achieve. Can't see Australia scoring more than 400 here but a middle of 70 runs when already 4 down offers good value.

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CricChris +1362.65
Stake: 20 3.40Bet365
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Posted 24 days ago

3.40
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