Thunder vs Rockets

Basketball - NBA - 30 Jan 01:10

Big value bet from me here. Houston Rockets (25-23) to win in Oklahoma City (35-13)
Both teams are in good form, I'm siding with the Rockets for 3 reasons, players returning from injury, their record against OKC in recent years and the Harden factor.
The Thunder have won 9 of 11 while the Rockets have won 9 of their last 13. Pretty similar records.
The Thunder have a very good home record but they've still lost 5 at home this year while the Rockets are picking up wins on the road, winning 4 of their last 6, including wins in Utah & Memphis, very tough road games. That makes it 10 road wins in total so far this year.
The Rockets got Howard and Beverley back this week as well as re-signing Josh Smith. They're a much stronger team than they were as little as a week ago. Beverley has a history with Wesbrook and will be determined to stop him in anyway he can, he's a truly elite defender.
While the Thunder will be missing some useful role players here in Robertson (22 mins a game) and Payne (11.5 mins a game). They'll have to find someone to take these minutes or Westbrook and Durant could end up seriously fatigued, especially considering OKC went to overtime against New York on Tuesday.
The Thunder have been pretty underwhelming the past week against average opposition, they lost against Brooklyn (12-33), needed overtime to scrape past New York (22-25) and only beat Minnesota (14-33) by one basket. They've conceded 245 points in their last 2.
James Harden was infamously traded from OKC to Houston and since he has averaged 33.4 points during the Rockets' last 5 against OKC.
Houston are a thorn in OKC's side. They have won the last 5 regular season meetings. Including once already this season.
They've won the last 2 meetings on this court.
OKC obvious favourites but this price is too big for me to refuse.
Fudge +551.90
Stake: 20 4.50Bet365
Best Odds

Posted 3 years ago

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