Aris BSA v Zielona Gora

Basketball - Champions League - 11 Oct 17:30

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Once again bookies give a home team advantage where they don't deserve it at all.

Both teams are quite similar - several american/foreign players in the mix with local guys, but Zielona Gora is the favorite to win the title in Poland, while Aris is just an average team in Greece. Sure, Greek league is tougher, but I can bet that if you put best 2-3 teams of Polish league into Greek league - they are capable of competing for the Playoff spot there.

Zielona Gora have saved majority of the players during the offseason, and that should only help them this season. Boris Savovic would probably miss this game for Zielona Gora with a wrist injury, as far as I know, he traveled with the team. So, who knows. He is the new addition to their team, have started first game in the Polish league & didn't play since then in two games (in first scored 17 points). That's probably the only downgrade of this tip.

Aris at the other hand yet to find the rhythm offensively with a brand new team. A lot of players left the team in the offseason, they even signed a new head coach. In the last game they scored just 55 points against Koroivos, although they were 6 point favorites to win that game on the road (lost by 16). They didn't managed to cover the total in Greek Cup quarter-finals either, scoring 70 at home. In September during friendly tournament they have scored just 65 points in both, against 2 average Turkish teams & lost both games in double figures.

Defensive end was the problem for Zielona Gora so far in this season, after finishing as the best defensive team last season in Poland, they have conceded 76.8 points per game in 4 games this season, let alone 5 friendlies in September where they allowed at least 75 points to all teams. But since Aris showed no promise on the offensive end so far, I think Zielona Gora has a great chance of stealing first game on the road in Champions League group stage today.

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Posted 2 months ago

3.10
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