Geelong v Collingwood -46.50
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This Aussie Rules betting tip comes from the AFL and the match between Geelong and Collingwood.
What a price! I was looking to back Collingwood at the normal handicap of around -16.5 and found this gem of a
bet on Betfair.
It is the biggest game of 2011 matching the two unbeaten sides against each other, both having won 6 straight.
90,000 people at the MCG will see this match go one of two ways, either the Magpies will blow Geelong away or
it will be a titanic struggle.
Geelong were tipped to struggle this year but have surprised many by keeping pace with the Pies.
A closer look reveals that the Cats opponents and winning margins have been not nearly as impressive.
Collingwood comes into this refreshed after last weeks bye and look primed to inflict more mental wounds on
The Cats went into lockdown after Collingwood smashed them by 41 points in last years preliminary final.
A similar margin was recorded in their regular season clash last year when the Pies won by 53 points.
The AFL's best player, Gary Ablett, was a Geelong player when these two results happened and now he has
followed the money trail up at Gold Coast.
Geelong were thumped in midfield both of these times and expect similar here as Collingwood expose their
Swan, Pendlebury, Thomas, Didak, Ball, Krakour, Davis, Sidebottom, Wellingham and Blair will win too much
ball for Geelong to cope with.
This puts untold pressure on the Cats defence and in Cloke and Dawes the Pies have the firepower to make
The Magpies average winning margin has been 53 points this year so 6.60 is hugely generous at -46.5.
Collingwood see this as a chance to stamp their authority on the competition, a ten goal thumping would not
surprise at all.
In both of last years games, Collingwood attacked the ball ferociously in the first quarter and led by 31 and 37
points at the first change.
A combination of hunger, desire, skill, freshness and authority may see the Magpies again destroy Geelong and
6.60 is magnificent odds on them doing so. Get on while you can!
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BK Betting Tip: Collingwood - 46.5 to beat Geelong - 6.60 @ Betfair